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Swing Trading Market Update


Weekly Market Update

by Shay Horowitz - October 31, 2005


Shogun Trading Swing Strategy
Daily analysis for October 31st, 2005

(Use this chart and commentary to plan your trades. The goal is to trade with the market, never against it. This chart will show our expectation, projection and commentary. This is a very important tool for you.)


·    The first wave of the short term down trend is over, the market is now bouncing for profit taking

·    The market will now have to break the 1540 support line, if it is to continue the downtrend.

·    The second wave down, when it starts, will last longer than the first wave down.


·    The market is still in a series of lower tops.

·    As long as we make lower tops and lower bottoms, the down trend is still on.


TRADING CONDITIONS

The market has been been picking up momentum lately. Moves are getting better and better for trend trading. The difference between choppy markets and trendy markets is that during choppy markets, risk is much higher and you are more likely to get stopped out. During trendy markets, the trades that do work out carry on for much longer. Your risk vs. reward ratio is much better during trendy markets.

As for this next week, we are looking to join the down trend that is developing. We will be accumulating a short position as the trend down intensifies.

MARKET "EXCITOMETER"

Use this new "Excitometer" to determine your trading aggressiveness. The higher up the number, the more excited we are about trading the market here.


Hope this helps,


Shay Horowitz - ShogunTrading


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